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There is no doubt that this speculative investment has impacted property prices and land prices across China but is it right to introduce curbs to combat this issue?

It is obvious from a distance that an increase in the cost of property development land will ultimately impact the cost of the installment loans direct lenders only property and the cost to buyers. If the authorities can take some of the heat out of the Chinese land market then perhaps quick loans online no credit check we could see a reduction in upward property price pressure? Then again, if so-called speculative investment is limited could this impact the supply of housing going forward? One issue which has been discussed at great length by the Chinese government is capital controls to reduce the amount of overseas investment by Chinese investors. You might assume from this type of strategy that Chinese property prices were struggling but they still monthly installment loans direct lenders increased by 12. It is also common knowledge that Chinese real estate investors are having a major impact upon many overseas markets as they look to balance their portfolios against a difficult domestic market. Is it right for the authorities to control the flow of capital overseas? Are we not taking a step back to the dark ages and the protectionism which Donald Trump has been so heavily criticised for? While many investors will be concerned about the tighten grip the Chinese government maintains on the property market this has always been the case.

Even though various areas of the Chinese economy have been opened up to overseas investment the government has always played a very active role. Quite why investors might expect the Chinese government to change its strategy today is puzzling although capital controls may well be a step too far.

It is sometimes difficult to get an angle on the Chinese real estate market because there are so many contradicting headlines. So, how are Chinese luxury real estate prices topping the charts? As we touched on above, this will surprise many people because there have been some very negative headlines about the country and monthly installment loans direct lenders the way in which the Chinese real estate market is apparently being manipulated. Shanghai has always been there or thereabouts as one of the most expensive cities in the world in which to live.


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Prime property in Shanghai increased by a phenomenal 27. It was interesting to see Beijing not too far behind with an increase of 26. Shanghai and Beijing are probably the two most recognised cities when it comes to international investors therefore perhaps monthly installment loans direct lenders it was obvious they would perform well. While Guangzhou is one of those cities we have all heard of, how many of us have actually looked at the Guangzhou real estate market in great detail? Despite all the doom and gloom, the Chinese economy is still growing, there is increasing demand for real estate and perhaps more importantly there is relatively low supply in some areas. In all honesty this lack of supply is probably exaggerating price movements and surely developers will fill this gap at some point?

It is also interesting to learn that while Chinese luxury real estate is very strong there would appear to be a number of reasons why competing markets have weakened. The London market has been impacted by increased costs with stamp duty for non-primary houses having been marked up significantly by the government. There have also been issues with former favourite New York City with the strong dollar and an abundance of luxury condos limiting property price increases. Of the markets covered above, London is perhaps the most interesting with currency weakness prompting some overseas buyers to look again not to mention the potential benefits of the Brexit vote. There may well be potential for New York City to fall back into line if Donald Trump gets his way and is able to devalue the currency in the future although the Fed would appear to have different plans. The situation with Vancouver is unlikely to change monthly installment loans direct lenders in the short to medium term as there was criticism about the number of overseas investors allegedly pushing property prices higher. For the last couple of years there have been serious concerns about Chinese property prices with house prices continuing to push further and further ahead.

This recently culminated in a number of short positions in two of China s top development companies. Evergrande Group and Sunac China Holdings Ltd have been extremely active in the Chinese housing market although short-term concerns about their finances seem to have attracted the shorters.


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In effect shorting is the action of selling shares you do not own with the idea of buying them back at a lower level to bank a profit. This has been the best performing share in the MSCI China Index and on the surface, there remain difficulties with the Chinese property market, perhaps the share price had got too far ahead of itself. However, over the last few weeks we have seen the company deliver what many believe to the exceptional profits with a significant number of house sales not yet booked. So, while the company has attracted a number of shorters many have had their fingers burnt and have been reducing their positions. The concern was the company had overstretched its finances in the short term and would pay a severe price. It does seem as though the bears have failed to recognise the value of these assets even in these troubled times. When the company issued a new bond to pay for the acquisition and shore up short-term finances this was a signal that the bears had got this one wrong as well. Evergrande Group and Sunac China Holdings Ltd board have access to finance at a time when many in the Chinese property market are struggling.

As a consequence, these companies are performing much better than expected while many of their competitors are certainly feeling the pinch. There does seem to be something of a hierarchical system in China which has been prevalent for many years. Those who thought an opening up of the Chinese stock market to overseas investors and a greater degree of capital market policies were a sign of things to come may well need to think again. There is still a preferred group of companies across many of China s different business sectors and this is unlikely to change in the foreseeable future. Those who follow the Chinese real estate market will be aware of recent difficulties and attempts by the Chinese government to support house prices. The performance of the Evergrande Group and Sunac China Holdings Ltd share prices quite naturally attracted the attention of the shorters although many advance paycheck have had their fingers burned.

A mixture of better-than-expected trading and improvement in short-term financing have given many traders something to think about. The idea of shorting these company shares may have backfired in the short term but in the longer term there are still many challenges ahead.


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As the London property market continues to grab the headlines in the UK, London real estate prices are relatively stable compared to the ever more volatile Chinese property market. Despite the fact that the Chinese authorities introduced an array of restrictions, prices continue to spiral higher. This buoyancy is not replicated in the Chinese economy which has shown signs of a slowdown in recent times. Indeed if you ask estate agents across some of Beijing s more sought-after payday loans monthly installment loans direct lenders cheyenne wy areas they will tell you that in some cases prices have doubled over the last 12 months.

The fact that the chief economist at the People s Bank of China described this as a bubble shows how desperate the situation is becoming in a country which does not openly discuss economic challenges. So, what does the future look like for real estate prices in China?

Only a few months ago there were reports that the Chinese authorities were picking up unsold properties in some of the less sought after cities and towns.

These were then been sold at a reduced price to the local population as a means of increasing activity in the real estate market and hopefully helping to support the local economy. The 70 largest cities across China which dominate the real estate market headlines are in effect operating in a whole different marketplace to those outside the top 70. We only need to look at the London property market to local cash advance get an idea how even internal markets can become detached from the overall national trend. It is the fact that the largest cities offer the best employment opportunities which creates focused demand pushing property prices to unsustainable levels. Even official economic advisers to the Chinese government are now advising those on lower incomes to be more realistic. This particular group of the population is now being pointed towards special flats and rooms in public housing which are more within their financial bracket. The main problems going forward relate to the construction industry and the potential for a collapse as and when the property market corrects itself.